Navigating Global Monetary Interdependencies: A Comprehensive Analysis of ECB Rate Hikes on China’s Technology-Driven Economy

Weidong Huo, Xiaoxian Chen (), Lan Bo and Fangyong Luo
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Weidong Huo: Liaoning University
Xiaoxian Chen: Liaoning University
Lan Bo: Liaoning University
Fangyong Luo: University of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences

Journal of the Knowledge Economy, 2024, vol. 15, issue 4, No 95, 18115 pages

Abstract: Abstract This research paper delves into the complex interplay between the European Central Bank’s (ECB) interest rate policies and their spillover effects on China’s knowledge-based economy. With a strong focus on innovation, entrepreneurship, and technology management, this study aims to bridge the existing knowledge gap in understanding the intricate dynamics of ECB rate hikes on China’s economic structure. The paper starts by highlighting the substantial economic connections between China and the Eurozone, emphasizing the vulnerability of the Chinese economy to changes in European demand and interest rates. While previous research has extensively examined the impact of US Federal Reserve rate hikes on China, this study explores the specific repercussions when the ECB takes the lead. Using a unique theoretical framework and sophisticated empirical techniques, this research comprehensively analyzes the transmission channels through which these effects propagate. It aims to provide policymakers with the necessary tools to address the challenges arising after ECB rate hikes, including inflation, currency exchange rates, capital movements, and economic expansion. Additionally, the study evaluates the efficacy of various measures that China can implement to mitigate adverse repercussions, thus safeguarding its economic stability. It considers policy instruments and tactics that can protect against potential disruptions stemming from fluctuations in European interest rates. This research contributes theoretically by uncovering additional transmission channels beyond trade and financial connections, offering insights into the trade-offs between economic stability and welfare optimization, and expanding the focus from the US Federal Reserve to the ECB. From a practical perspective, it provides valuable guidance to policymakers in China and similar economies, allowing them to make informed decisions tailored to their specific economic circumstances and priorities. It emphasizes the importance of strengthening domestic markets to reduce susceptibility to external disruptions and promote long-term economic stability. This study not only advances our theoretical understanding of global monetary policy interactions but also equips policymakers with actionable insights to navigate the intricate web of global economic interdependencies in an increasingly knowledge-driven world.

Keywords: Knowledge spillover; European Central Bank; Interest rate increases; China’s macroeconomy; Global monetary policies; Economic interdependencies; Technology management; Financial stability (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1007/s13132-024-01864-6

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