The effect of pandemic crises on fertility

Davide Furceri, Pietro Pizzuto and Khatereh Yarveisi ()
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Khatereh Yarveisi: University of Palermo

Journal of Population Economics, 2024, vol. 37, issue 1, No 3, 30 pages

Abstract: Abstract This paper examines the dynamic effects of pandemic crises on fertility rates for a large, unbalanced sample of 182 developed and developing countries during the period 1996–2019. We find that major pandemics are associated with significant and persistent declines in fertility rates of about 2%, on average. These effects are significantly larger for pandemics characterized by a very large number of confirmed cases relative to the population (up to 6½%) and by deep recessions (up to 5%). In addition, the effects are larger in advanced economies (up to 5%) and for younger women, on average.

Keywords: COVID-19; Pandemics; Crises; Fertility (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D80 E32 G01 J13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1007/s00148-024-00983-3

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