Assessments of provincial mortality in China’s 2010 population census based on the Developing Countries Mortality Database model life table

Cheng Li and Hong Mi ()
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Cheng Li: Zijin’gang Campus, Zhejiang University
Hong Mi: Zijin’gang Campus, Zhejiang University

Journal of Population Research, 2021, vol. 38, issue 2, No 3, 169-196

Abstract: Abstract The provincial mortality data of China’s 2010 population census sustains the study of regional mortality disparities, but the data suffer from the disadvantage of underestimation. Due to the deficiency of relevant information, little research on the quality of province-specific mortality data has been published with respect to the 2010 census. We estimated provincial underestimation of infant and old-age mortality, analysed regional disparities using the Developing Countries Mortality Database model life table and re-calculated sex-specific life expectancy at birth and at age 60 for the 2010 census. Results show that in most provinces the infant mortality rate is underestimated by at least 70% and that the related data for the eastern and southwestern provinces show better quality than that of other areas. Old-age mortality underestimate rates vary among provinces: the eastern, south-central and northern provinces present less severe underestimations than the southwest, northwest and northeast provinces. After adjustments, the province gap in e0 ranged from 0 to 14.8 years for boys and 0 to 15.9 years for girls, that in e60 ranged from 0 to 8.8 years for men and 0 to 9.9 years for women. Sex differences in life expectancy increased compared to the reported values of the 2010 census.

Keywords: Provincial mortality; Mortality underestimate; Model life table; Population Census; China (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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DOI: 10.1007/s12546-021-09260-6

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