EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Do spatial interactions fuel the climate-conflict vicious cycle? The case of the African continent

Federica Cappelli (), Caterina Conigliani, Valeria Costantini, Keti Lelo, Anil Markandya, Elena Paglialunga and Giorgia Sforna ()
Additional contact information
Federica Cappelli: University of Roma Tre
Giorgia Sforna: ENEA

Journal of Spatial Econometrics, 2020, vol. 1, issue 1, 1-52

Abstract: Abstract We propose an analysis of the multiple linkages between violent conflicts, weather-related variables and socio-economic conditions based on an original geo-referenced database covering the entire African continent with a grid resolution of 1° × 1° for the period 1990–2016. We implement a dynamic spatial panel Durbin model that allows us: (1) confirming well-known mechanisms in violent conflicts analysis; (2) assessing the relevance of persistency of violence over time; (3) adding new insights related to the role of spatial relations associated to contagion. In particular, the spatial specification allows us quantifying the contagious effect across space, that persists in a radius of more than 300 km. Weather-related variables seem to play a prominent role in shaping contagion with different strength depending on the temporal horizon adopted. The main implications we derive are twofold: (1) adaptation policies designed for reducing vulnerability of local communities to climate change must be integrated with direct actions for peacekeeping in order to break the persistency of violence over time that is responsible for failures of the adaptation actions themselves; (2) synergies from simultaneous actions developed for different local communities must drive geographical coordination of integrated policies in order to capture the positive elements of cooperation associated to geographical spillovers while breaking violence contagion across neighbours.

Keywords: Climate change; Violent conflicts; Africa; Geographical spillovers; Dynamic panel spatial Durbin model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D74 O13 O55 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

Downloads: (external link)
http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s43071-020-00007-8 Abstract (text/html)
Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:jospat:v:1:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s43071-020-00007-8

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
https://www.springer.com/journal/43071

DOI: 10.1007/s43071-020-00007-8

Access Statistics for this article

Journal of Spatial Econometrics is currently edited by Giuseppe Arbia, Lung Fei Lee and James LeSage

More articles in Journal of Spatial Econometrics from Springer
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().

 
Page updated 2024-07-07
Handle: RePEc:spr:jospat:v:1:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s43071-020-00007-8