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Definetti’s Theorem for Abstract Finite Exchangeable Sequences

G. Jay. Kerns () and Gábor J. Székely ()
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G. Jay. Kerns: Youngstown State University
Gábor J. Székely: Bowling Green State University

Journal of Theoretical Probability, 2006, vol. 19, issue 3, 589-608

Abstract: We show that a finite collection of exchangeable random variables on an arbitrary measurable space is a signed mixture of i.i.d. random variables. Two applications of this idea are examined, one concerning Bayesian consistency, in which it is established that a sequence of posterior distributions continues to converge to the true value of a parameter θ under much wider assumptions than are ordinarily supposed, the next pertaining to Statistical Physics where it is demonstrated that the quantum statistics of Fermi-Dirac may be derived from the statistics of classical (i.e. independent) particles by means of a signed mixture of multinomial distributions.

Keywords: Exchangeable variables; de Finetti’s theorem; finite exchangeable sequence; signed measure; extreme points; Primary: 60B05; Secondary: 60E99; Secondary: 62E99 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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DOI: 10.1007/s10959-006-0028-z

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