Macroeconomic Determinants of Crime: Evidence from India

Devika Hazra () and Zhen Cui ()
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Devika Hazra: California State University, Los Angeles
Zhen Cui: California State University, Los Angeles

Journal of Quantitative Economics, 2018, vol. 16, issue 1, No 8, 187-198

Abstract: Abstract This paper examines the relationship between crime, inflation, unemployment, and real GDP per capita in India. Based on the national-level data, the Johansen cointegration test confirms the presence of cointegration relationship between the variables. The Toda–Yamamoto Granger causality test suggests that macroeconomic indicators, especially unemployment, can significantly affect crime in India. Based on the state-level data, the ordinary least squares results corroborate the effect of inflation on crime even after controlling for governance. However, they fail to verify the relationship between crime, unemployment, and real GDP per capita.

Keywords: Crime; Macroeconomic conditions; GDP per capita; Inflation; Unemployment; India (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J11 K42 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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DOI: 10.1007/s40953-018-0127-6

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