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What comes first, residential or commercial development? Measuring the causal links for a Canadian city over a century

Jean Dubé (), Charles-David Babin, Jean-Christophe Dubé, Hemza Lekkat, Alexandre Potvin and Olivier Ringue
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Jean Dubé: Université Laval
Charles-David Babin: Université Laval
Jean-Christophe Dubé: Université Laval
Hemza Lekkat: Université Laval
Alexandre Potvin: Université Laval
Olivier Ringue: Université Laval

Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Jean Dubé

Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, 2017, vol. 10, issue 1, No 5, 57-74

Abstract: Abstract Does new residential development cause new commercial development, or does the inverse hold true? Are residential and commercial developments dependent on each other? This paper investigates the causal links between residential and commercial development for a given city. Using information on assessment roles, a backward construction of the city of Montmagny, a small-medium city located in the province of Québec (Canada), is conducted to build time-series data of construction of new buildings and the Granger causality test is performed for the city. The results for the period ranging from 1900–2014 underline the important role played by residential constructions in the expansion of the city under study.

Keywords: Local development; Spatial microdata; Granger causality; Vector autoregressive model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C21 R11 R12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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DOI: 10.1007/s12076-016-0171-9

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