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A Double Recursion for Calculating Moments of the Truncated Normal Distribution and its Connection to Change Detection

Moshe Pollak () and Michal Shauly-Aharonov ()
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Moshe Pollak: The Hebrew University of Jerusalem
Michal Shauly-Aharonov: The Hebrew University of Jerusalem

Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, 2019, vol. 21, issue 3, 889-906

Abstract: Abstract The integral ∫ 0 ∞ x m e − 1 2 ( x − a ) 2 dx ${\int }_{0}^{\infty }x^{m} e^{-\frac {1}{2}(x-a)^{2}}dx$ appears in likelihood ratios used to detect a change in the parameters of a normal distribution. As part of the mth moment of a truncated normal distribution, this integral is known to satisfy a recursion relation, which has been used to calculate the first four moments of a truncated normal. Use of higher order moments was rare. In more recent times, this integral has found important applications in methods of changepoint detection, with m going up to the thousands. The standard recursion formula entails numbers whose values grow quickly with m, rendering a low cap on computational feasibility. We present various aspects of dealing with the computational issues: asymptotics, recursion and approximation. We provide an example in a changepoint detection setting.

Keywords: Changepoint; On-line; Shiryaev–Roberts; Surveillance; 62L10; 62E15; 60E05 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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DOI: 10.1007/s11009-018-9622-7

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