Pairwise Markov Models and Hybrid Segmentation Approach

Kristi Kuljus () and Jüri Lember ()
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Kristi Kuljus: University of Tartu

Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, 2023, vol. 25, issue 2, 1-32

Abstract: Abstract The article studies segmentation problem (also known as classification problem) with pairwise Markov models (PMMs). A PMM is a process where the observation process and underlying state sequence form a two-dimensional Markov chain, it is a natural generalization of a hidden Markov model. To demonstrate the richness of the class of PMMs, we examine closer a few examples of rather different types of PMMs: a model for two related Markov chains, a model that allows to model an inhomogeneous Markov chain as a conditional marginal process of a homogeneous PMM, and a semi-Markov model. The segmentation problem assumes that one of the marginal processes is observed and the other one is not, the problem is to estimate the unobserved state path given the observations. The standard state path estimators often used are the so-called Viterbi path (a sequence with maximum state path probability given the observations) or the pointwise maximum a posteriori (PMAP) path (a sequence that maximizes the conditional state probability for given observations pointwise). Both these estimators have their limitations, therefore we derive formulas for calculating the so-called hybrid path estimators which interpolate between the PMAP and Viterbi path. We apply the introduced algorithms to the studied models in order to demonstrate the properties of different segmentation methods, and to illustrate large variation in behaviour of different segmentation methods in different PMMs. The studied examples show that a segmentation method should always be chosen with care by taking into account the purpose of modelling and the particular model of interest.

Keywords: Pairwise Markov model; Segmentation; Classification; Viterbi path; PMAP path; Hybrid path; 62M05; 62M20; 60J10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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DOI: 10.1007/s11009-023-10044-z

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