Estimation of volcanic ashfall deposit and removal works based on ash dispersion simulations

Yosuke Tomii, Tomoya Shibayama, Yuta Nishida, Ryota Nakamura, Non Okumura, Hideaki Yamaguchi, Yosuke Tanokura, Yu Oshima, Natsuko Sugawara, Kota Fujisawa, Takayuki Wakita, Takahito Mikami, Tomoyuki Takabatake and Miguel Esteban ()
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Yosuke Tomii: Waseda University
Tomoya Shibayama: Waseda University
Yuta Nishida: Waseda University
Ryota Nakamura: Niigata University
Non Okumura: Waseda University
Hideaki Yamaguchi: Waseda University
Yosuke Tanokura: Waseda University
Yu Oshima: Waseda University
Natsuko Sugawara: Waseda University
Kota Fujisawa: Waseda University
Takayuki Wakita: Waseda University
Takahito Mikami: Tokyo City University
Tomoyuki Takabatake: Waseda University

Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, 2020, vol. 103, issue 3, No 34, 3377-3399

Abstract: Abstract Volcanic ashfall can cause considerable social impacts to a wide geographical area. Given the challenge to predict volcanic eruptions, it is essential to simulate the dispersion of ash as soon as possible after an event and promptly estimate the distribution of deposits and necessary removal works. In this study, a series of procedures to improve the accuracy of the WRF-FALL3D model for the case of the eruption of Mt. Kusatsu-Shirane in 2018 are proposed, which were verified through field surveys of ash deposits, showing that the accuracy of the model can be improved by selecting a range of column heights and promptly conducting field surveys following an event. Also, a methodology to estimate the amount of work necessary to clear road networks and river channels is proposed, which was applied to a volcanic event similar to that of the Hoei eruption of Mt. Fuji in 1707. The results also emphasize the need to improve the estimation of column heights in the future, which is of paramount importance to ensure the safety and operational continuity of human infrastructure in the vicinity of major active volcanoes.

Keywords: Ash dispersion modelling; Ashfall deposit; Removal works; WRF-FALL3D; Mt. Kusatsu-Shirane; Mt. Fuji (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:103:y:2020:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-020-04134-1

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DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-04134-1

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