Rapid prediction of alongshore run-up distribution from near-field tsunamis
Jun-Whan Lee (),
Jennifer L. Irish and
Robert Weiss
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Jun-Whan Lee: Virginia Tech
Jennifer L. Irish: Virginia Tech
Robert Weiss: Virginia Tech
Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, 2020, vol. 104, issue 2, No 2, 1157-1180
Abstract:
Abstract Rapid prediction of the spatial distribution of the run-up from near-field tsunamis is critically important for tsunami hazard characterization. Even though significant advances have been made over the last decade, physics-based numerical models are still computationally intensive. Here, we present a response surface methodology (RSM)-based model called the tsunami run-up response function (TRRF). Derived from a discrete set of tsunami simulations, TRRF can produce a rapid prediction of a near-field tsunami run-up distribution that takes into account the influence of variable local topographic and bathymetric characteristics in a given region. This new method reduces the number of simulations required to build an RSM model by separately modeling the leading order contribution and the residual part of the tsunami run-up distribution. Using the northern region of Puerto Rico as a case study, we investigated the performance (accuracy, computational time) of the TRRF. The results reveal that the TRRF achieves reliable prediction while reducing the prediction time by six orders of magnitude (computational time: $$
Keywords: Tsunami; Run-up; Response surface methodology; Puerto Rico (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:104:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-020-04209-z
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DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-04209-z
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