Population dynamics and natural hazard risk management: conceptual and practical linkages for the case of Austrian policy making

Christoph Clar (), Lukas Löschner, Ralf Nordbeck, Tatjana Fischer and Thomas Thaler
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Christoph Clar: University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna (BOKU)
Lukas Löschner: University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna (BOKU)
Ralf Nordbeck: University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna (BOKU)
Tatjana Fischer: University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna (BOKU)
Thomas Thaler: University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna (BOKU)

Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, 2021, vol. 105, issue 2, No 27, 1765-1796

Abstract: Abstract This contribution explores the conceptual and empirical linkages between population dynamics and natural hazard risk management (NHRM). Following a review of the international scholarly literature, we conduct a mixed-methods approach in Austria, combining an online survey among policy makers and other stakeholders with a thematic analysis of policy documents. The aim is to investigate the practical relevance of socio-demographic change in Austria’s NHRM. The study shows that many hazard-prone regions in Austria face population change, in particular demographic ageing and population decline. In addition, our findings from the online survey demonstrate the relevance of population dynamics in NHRM, especially with regard to hazard response and recovery. Nonetheless, policy formulation in NHRM overwhelmingly disregards demographic change as a relevant factor. Accordingly, the study underscores the importance of future-oriented risk management strategies to better account for ongoing and expected socio-demographic changes.

Keywords: Demographic change; Population dynamics; Natural hazards; Risk management; Disaster risk (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-04376-z

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