Dynamic hazard assessment of group-occurring debris flows based on a coupled model

Yinping Nie, Xiuzhen Li (), Wendy Zhou and Ruichi Xu
Additional contact information
Yinping Nie: Chinese Academy of Sciences
Xiuzhen Li: Chinese Academy of Sciences
Wendy Zhou: Colorado School of Mines
Ruichi Xu: Chinese Academy of Sciences

Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, 2021, vol. 106, issue 3, No 38, 2635-2661

Abstract: Abstract A scientific hazard zoning of debris flows can ensure that human activities are not performed therein, thereby reducing economic loss as much as possible. In this study, by considering the formation background conditions of mountain hazards and dynamic rainfall conditions, the Transient Rainfall Infiltration and Grid-Based Regional Slope-Stability Model (TRIGRS) and Flow path assessment of gravitational hazards at a Regional scale (Flow-R) are organically combined to establish a new coupled model for debris flow dynamic hazard assessment from the viewpoint of landslides providing the material source of debris flows. The coupled model was employed in Qingping township, Sichuan province of China, which was severely damaged by the “5·12” Wenchuan earthquake in 2008. Evaluation results show that the accuracy of the coupled model is 87.98%, which is significantly higher than that of the static Flow-R model (75.51%). This study not only considers the effect of the formation condition of mountain hazards and rainfall-induced shallow landslides on the source of debris flows, but also realises real-time hazard assessment and prediction of group-occurring debris flows. The coupled model used in this study provides a new perspective and is paramount for improving the accuracy and reliability of debris flow hazard assessment.

Keywords: Group-occurring debris flows; Dynamic hazard assessment; Coupled model; TRIGRS model; Flow-R model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-021-04558-3 Abstract (text/html)
Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:106:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-021-04558-3

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.springer.com/economics/journal/11069

DOI: 10.1007/s11069-021-04558-3

Access Statistics for this article

Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards is currently edited by Thomas Glade, Tad S. Murty and Vladimír Schenk

More articles in Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards from Springer, International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().