Multivariate return period for different types of flooding in city of Monza, Italy

M. Mehdi Bateni (), Mario L. V. Martina and ·Marcello Arosio
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M. Mehdi Bateni: Scuola Universitaria Superiore IUSS Pavia
Mario L. V. Martina: Scuola Universitaria Superiore IUSS Pavia
·Marcello Arosio: Scuola Universitaria Superiore IUSS Pavia

Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, 2022, vol. 114, issue 1, No 34, 823 pages

Abstract: Abstract The return period is a probabilistic criterion used to measure and communicate the random occurrence of geophysical events such as floods in risk assessment studies. Since an individual risk may be strongly affected by the degree of dependence amongst all risks, the need for the provision of multivariate design quantiles has gained ground. Consequently, several recent studies have focused on estimation of multi-hazard risk resulted from different hazard types. In this study, multi-hazard return periods are derived for riverine and pluvial floods in city of Monza, Italy, based on different copula dependence structures. It is shown that ignoring statistical dependence among different inter-correlated hazards may cause significant misestimation of risks.

Keywords: Copula; Flooding; Multi-hazard; Joint return period (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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DOI: 10.1007/s11069-022-05413-9

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