The temporal clustering of storm surge, wave height, and high sea level exceedances around the UK coastline

Luke J. Jenkins (), Ivan D. Haigh, Paula Camus, Douglas Pender, Jenny Sansom, Rob Lamb and Hachem Kassem
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Luke J. Jenkins: National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton
Ivan D. Haigh: National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton
Paula Camus: National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton
Douglas Pender: JBA Consulting
Jenny Sansom: Lateral House
Rob Lamb: JBA Trust
Hachem Kassem: National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton

Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, 2023, vol. 115, issue 2, No 32, 1797 pages

Abstract: Abstract The temporal clustering of storms presents consecutive storm surge and wave hazards that can lead to amplified flood and erosional damages; thus, clustering is important for coastal stakeholders to consider. We analyse the prevalence of storm clustering around the UK coastline by examining the temporal and spatial characteristics of storm surge, wave height, and high still sea level exceedances at the 1 in 1- and 5-year return levels. First, at the interannual timescale, we show that there are periods of high/low exceedance counts on national and regional scales. Elevated annual counts of exceedances with smaller magnitudes can occur without a respective signal of higher-magnitude exceedances. Secondly, at the intra-annual timescale, we show that high proportions of exceedances are clustering over short timescales. Storm surge, wave height and still sea level exceedances occurring

Keywords: Storm clustering; UK coastal management; Seasonal extremes; Surge and wave hazards; Sea level rise (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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DOI: 10.1007/s11069-022-05617-z

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