Integrated proactive drought management in hydrosystems and cities: building a nine-step participatory planning methodology

Francisco Assis Souza Filho (), Ticiana Marinho Carvalho Studart, João Dehon Pontes Filho, Eduardo Sávio Passos Rodrigues Martins, Sérgio Rodrigues Ayrimoraes, Carlos Alberto Perdigão Pessoa, Larissa Zaira Rafael Rolim, Luiz Martins Araujo Junior, Samiria Maria Oliveira Silva, Taís Maria Nunes Carvalho and Sandra Helena Silva Aquino
Additional contact information
Francisco Assis Souza Filho: UFC - Federal University of Ceará
Ticiana Marinho Carvalho Studart: UFC - Federal University of Ceará
João Dehon Pontes Filho: UFC - Federal University of Ceará
Eduardo Sávio Passos Rodrigues Martins: LABOMAR, UFC - Federal University of Ceará
Sérgio Rodrigues Ayrimoraes: ANA - Brazil National Water and Sanitation Agency
Carlos Alberto Perdigão Pessoa: ANA - Brazil National Water and Sanitation Agency
Larissa Zaira Rafael Rolim: UFC - Federal University of Ceará
Luiz Martins Araujo Junior: UNILAB - University of International Integration of Afro-Brazilian Lusophony
Samiria Maria Oliveira Silva: UFC - Federal University of Ceará
Taís Maria Nunes Carvalho: UFC - Federal University of Ceará
Sandra Helena Silva Aquino: UFC - Federal University of Ceará

Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, 2023, vol. 115, issue 3, No 15, 2179-2204

Abstract: Abstract Drought is a natural hazard with complex socioeconomic impacts and influences on human experiences. Preparedness is the only way a society can mitigate drought impacts but integrating participatory decision-making with hydrological modeling into a more comprehensive planning process is still a challenge. Here, we present a step-by-step methodology to guide the implementation of a participatory drought preparedness plan (DPP), specially designed for hydrosystems and cities scales. We highlight strategies to engage local stakeholders in constructing such plans and build trust in the process. We propose two types of drought preparedness plans: (1) Socio-technical–built only from the tacit knowledge of the system operators, which needs only two days to be ready; and (2) Socio-technical with modeling-intensive simulation—a more robust methodology that adds hydrologic and hydraulic modeling to the existing tacit knowledge. The participatory DPP methodology was developed and applied to hydrosystems and cities in a drought-prone area of Brazil. Our findings suggest that modeling was important, but not essential to assessing vulnerability scenarios and strategies. However, the simplified version can achieve satisfactory results even when data and resources are limited. We present the methodology as a nine-step participatory planning methodology developing a meaningful and convincing narrative that speaks to theory and practice.

Keywords: Drought; Drought preparedness; Participatory planning; Proactive drought plan; Socio-technical planning (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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DOI: 10.1007/s11069-022-05633-z

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