Landslide development and susceptibility along the Yunling–Yanjing segment of the Lancang River using grid and slope units

Hong Wen, Siyuan Zhao (), Yuhang Liang, Sen Wang, Ling Tao and Jiren Xie
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Hong Wen: Xihua University
Siyuan Zhao: Sichuan University
Yuhang Liang: Xihua University
Sen Wang: Southwest Jiaotong University
Ling Tao: Xihua University
Jiren Xie: Central South University

Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, 2024, vol. 120, issue 7, No 9, 6149-6168

Abstract: Abstract Selecting appropriate mapping units is vital for landslide susceptibility mapping as well as pattern investigation, given that various units-based analyses extensively control the prediction performances. This paper investigated the landslide development through the interpretation and field surveys along the Yunling–Yanjing segment of the Lancang River in southeastern Tibet, and fulfil LSM with the consideration of 15 conditioning factors. Two grid unit methods (single-point and multi-point patterns) and two slope unit methods were comparatively analyzed for model training and mapping of landslide susceptibility via machine learning algorithms. The results suggest that the landslides are preferentially distributed in an elevation range of 2000–4000 m, in a slope range of 20–40°, a local relief range of 1000–2500 m, and southwest-oriented slopes. The data extracted by the multi-point method denotes a higher representation of landslide development features. All models possessed positive prediction ability for landslide susceptibility, and the multi-point method based on grid unit performed the best with the AUC exceeding 0.9. The best-performing models indicated that zones of high and very high susceptibility mainly distributed adjacent to the mainstem and some tributaries of the Lancang River. Furthermore, the distribution of "safety islands" (the slopes less prone to landslides) along National Highway G214 was reasonably illustrated as well, which provides a hazard predictability for such an important transportation corridor along the deeply-incised valley in the Lancang River. This study demonstrates a theoretical basis for the regional disaster prevention and mitigation for human activity, and provides methodological references for landslide susceptibility evaluation in similar mountainous areas over the world.

Keywords: Landslide; Landslide susceptibility assessment; Grid unit; Slope unit; Tibetan Plateau (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1007/s11069-024-06495-3

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