Earthquake disaster prediction for urban water supply systems: a review of key technologies and a multilevel assessment framework

Lifang Qi, Baitao Sun and Guixin Zhang ()
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Lifang Qi: China Earthquake Administration
Baitao Sun: China Earthquake Administration
Guixin Zhang: China Earthquake Administration

Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, 2025, vol. 121, issue 13, No 3, 15109-15133

Abstract: Abstract Urban water supply systems are a vital part of lifeline infrastructure, and their failure after earthquakes can severely impact city operations. Earthquake disaster prediction is important, as it helps identify weak points before earthquakes and enables early prevention. However, current prediction methods lack systematization, and the variety of methods available complicates their practical application. In this study, key methods for earthquake disaster prediction in water supply systems are reviewed, their principles, characteristics, and application scenarios are analyzed, and a preliminary hierarchical and phased assessment framework is proposed. The findings support the use of scientific and practical methods for future earthquake disaster prediction efforts.

Keywords: Earthquake disaster prediction; Underground water supply pipeline; Reliability analysis; China (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1007/s11069-025-07422-w

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