Seasonal Forecasting for Climate Hazards: Prospects and Responses

Sarah Murphy, Richard Washington (), Thomas Downing, Randall Martin, Gina Ziervogel, Anthony Preston, Martin Todd, Ruth Butterfield and Jim Briden

Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, 2001, vol. 23, issue 2, 196 pages

Abstract: One of the most promising developments for early warning of climate hazards is seasonal climate forecasting. Already forecasts are operational in many parts of the tropics and sub-tropics, particularly for droughts and floods associated with ENSO events. Prospects for further development of seasonal forecasting for a range of climatichazards are reviewed, illustrated with case studies in Africa, Australia, the U.S.A. and Europe. A critical evaluation of the utility of seasonal forecasts centres on vulnerability, communicationchannels, and effective responses. In contrast to short-term prediction, seasonal forecasts raise new issues of preparedness and the use of information. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 2001

Keywords: climate hazards; seasonal forecasting; agriculture; water resources; Africa; Europe; Australia; U.S.A. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2001
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DOI: 10.1023/A:1011160904414

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