Seismic Hazard for Selected Sites in Greece: A Bayesian Estimate of Seismic Peak Ground Acceleration

A. Lyubushin (), T. Tsapanos (), V. Pisarenko () and G. Koravos

Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, 2002, vol. 25, issue 1, 83-98

Abstract: A procedure for estimating maximum values of seismic peak ground accelerationat the examined site and quantiles of its probabilistic distribution in a future timeinterval of a given length is considered. The input information for the method areseismic catalog and regression relation between peak seismic acceleration at a givenpoint and magnitude and distance from the site to epicenter (seismic attenuation law).The method is based on Bayesian approach, which simply accounts for influenceof uncertainties of seismic acceleration values. The main assumptions for the method are Poissonian character of seismic events flow and distribution law of Gutenberg-Richter's type. The method is applied to seismic hazard estimation in six selected sitesin Greece. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 2002

Keywords: Bayesian approach; seismic hazard assessment; peak ground accelerations (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2002
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DOI: 10.1023/A:1013342918801

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