Maximum Storm Surge Curve Due to Global Warming for the European North Sea Region During the 20th–21st Century

Gabriele Gönnert

Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, 2004, vol. 32, issue 2, 218 pages

Abstract: Computations of storm surges during the 20th century needs to incorporate globalwarming of about 0.6 °C ± 0.2 °C (IPCC, 2001). In order totake this global warming into consideration, the development of all storm surgesoccurred during the 20th century have been analysed. The study comprises determiningto what degree the storm surge curve and storm surge level depend on each other. Thisfact can be used to calculate a maximum storm surge curve and each single storm surgeevent can be summarised. The tendency of the surge and wind parameters do not showthat this maximum storm surge levels in the 20th century will occur earlier than predicted, however, the global warming of 0.6 °C will extend the duration of the mean storm surge curve. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 2004

Keywords: storm surge; global warming; German Bight; astronomical tide (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2004
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DOI: 10.1023/B:NHAZ.0000031314.21789.f2

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