The Potential of Fuzzy Multi-objective Model for Rainfall Forecasting from Typhoons

Pao-Shan Yu (), Shien-Tsung Chen, Chia-Jung Chen and Tao-Chang Yang

Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, 2005, vol. 34, issue 2, 150 pages

Abstract: This study applies the fuzzy multi-objective approach to forecast short-term (around 24 h) typhoon rainfall, which can be implemented without much background meteorological knowledge. The physical characteristics of 40 typhoons, including route, central pressure, central velocity and cyclonic radius, were used as the data set. The fuzzy multi-objective method ‘mined’ information from the database to forecast both the depth and pattern of rainfall, which were then combined to estimate a cumulative rainfall curve. The results of calibration with reference to 40 historical typhoon events and the results of validation using another five typhoon events indicate that the proposed model has the potential to forecast short-term cumulative rainfall curves if more variables can be included and more historical typhoon events can be collected to enlarge the database. Copyright Springer 2005

Keywords: rainfall forecasting; fuzzy multi-objective model; typhoons (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2005
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:34:y:2005:i:2:p:131-150

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DOI: 10.1007/s11069-004-8889-x

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