The vulnerability of the European air traffic network to spatial hazards
Sean Wilkinson (),
Sarah Dunn and
Shu Ma
Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, 2012, vol. 60, issue 3, 1027-1036
Abstract:
The 2010 eruption of the Eyjafjallajökull volcano had a devastating effect on the European air traffic network, preventing air travel throughout most of Europe for 6 days (Oroian in ProEnvironment 3:5–8, 2010 ). The severity of the disruption was surprising as previous research suggests that this type of network should be tolerant to random hazard (Albert et al. in Nature 406(6794):378–382, 2000 ; Strogatz in Nature 410(6825):268–276, 2001 ). The source of this hazard tolerance lies in the degree distribution of the network which, for many real-world networks, has been shown to follow a power law (Albert et al. in Nature 401(6749):130–131, 1999 ; Albert et al. in Nature 406(6794):378–382, 2000 ). In this paper, we demonstrate that the ash cloud was unexpectedly disruptive because it was spatially coherent rather than uniformly random. We analyse the spatial dependence in air traffic networks and demonstrate how the combination of their geographical distribution and their network architectures jeopardises their inherent hazard tolerance. Copyright The Author(s) 2012
Keywords: Network reliability; Scale-free networks; Spatial hazard; Airline networks; Hazard tolerance; Exponential networks (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (25)
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DOI: 10.1007/s11069-011-9885-6
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