Northern hemisphere tropical cyclones during the quasi-El Niño of late 2014

A. H. Sobel (), Suzana J. Camargo, A. G. Barnston and M. K. Tippett
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A. H. Sobel: Columbia University
Suzana J. Camargo: Columbia University
A. G. Barnston: Columbia University
M. K. Tippett: Columbia University

Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, 2016, vol. 83, issue 3, No 18, 1717-1729

Abstract: Abstract During the second half of 2014, the tropical Pacific was in a state marginally consistent with El Niño. While oceanic indicators were indicative of a weak El Niño event, a number of atmospheric indicators were not, and a number of forecast centers did not declare an El Niño. Nonetheless, the most active tropical cyclone basins of the northern hemisphere—those of the North Atlantic and Pacific—showed tropical cyclone statistics that in some respects were consistent with El Niño. In particular, the numbers of relatively intense storms in the four basins considered—major hurricanes in the Eastern North Pacific and North Atlantic, super typhoons in the Western North Pacific, and hurricanes in the Central North Pacific—formed a pattern strongly consistent with El Niño.

Keywords: Tropical cyclones; El Niño Southern oscillation; Climate (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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DOI: 10.1007/s11069-016-2389-7

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