Accounting for spatial correlation in tsunami evacuation destination choice: a case study of the Great East Japan Earthquake

Giancarlos Troncoso Parady () and Eiji Hato
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Giancarlos Troncoso Parady: The University of Tokyo
Eiji Hato: The University of Tokyo

Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, 2016, vol. 84, issue 2, No 4, 797-807

Abstract: Abstract This article analyzes the tsunami evacuation destination choice process, using as a case study the Great East Japan Earthquake of 2011. The contribution of this article is twofold. First, it sheds some light on the choice mechanism behind tsunami evacuation destination choice, an understudied aspect of the evacuation process. Second, and from a theoretical perspective, it addresses the issue of spatial correlation in discrete choice models. A spatially correlated logit model is estimated, where the allocation parameter is specified as a function of proximity and inter-zone altitude difference to capture more adequately unobserved similarities among alternatives in the specific context of tsunami evacuation.

Keywords: Tsunami; Evacuation behavior; Destination choice; Spatial correlation; Great East Japan Earthquake (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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DOI: 10.1007/s11069-016-2457-z

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