Contrasting impacts of heat stress on violent and nonviolent robbery in Beijing, China

Xiaofeng Hu (), Peng Chen, Hong Huang, Ting Sun and Dan Li
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Xiaofeng Hu: People’s Public Security University of China
Peng Chen: People’s Public Security University of China
Hong Huang: Tsinghua University
Ting Sun: Tsinghua University
Dan Li: Boston University

Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, 2017, vol. 87, issue 2, No 20, 972 pages

Abstract: Abstract Previous studies investigating the relation between heat stress and crime incidents often focus on violent crimes. In this study, the impacts of heat stress on two types of robbery (violent and nonviolent) in China are compared using crime statistics collected in Beijing and heat stress indices that consider the combined effects of temperature and humidity. The results indicate that the abrupt change in the trend of robbery rates is affected by the 2008 Beijing Olympic Games. The nonviolent robbery rates have a more pronounced seasonality and are better correlated with heat stress at daily scales, especially during the period from 2009 to 2014 when no trend exists. The results also demonstrate that both violent and nonviolent robbery rates significantly increase with heat stress in spring. The nonviolent robbery rates also significantly increase with heat stress in summer. The influence of heat stress on violent robbery rate is more complicated and nonlinear.

Keywords: Violent; Robbery; Temperature; Relative humidity; Heat stress (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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DOI: 10.1007/s11069-017-2804-8

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