Reduction of future disaster damages by learning from disaster experiences

Hiroki Onuma, Kong Joo Shin and Shunsuke Managi
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Kong Joo Shin: Kyushu University

Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, 2017, vol. 87, issue 3, No 9, 1435-1452

Abstract: Abstract This paper examines the effect of a country’s own past disaster experiences and nearby countries’ past experiences on subsequent disaster damage. We use global disaster data from 1990 to 2010, which include disaster-related death tolls for both natural and technological disasters that are further divided into sub-categories. Overall, we find evidence of a reduction effect of past disaster damage on future disaster damage. More detailed analyses show that an adaptation effect seems to be present for certain combinations of disaster types and levels of economic development. The results show that a country’s own experiences reduce future damage for natural disasters but that the marginal effect is larger for lower-income countries. On the other hand, for technological disasters, a robust impact of experiences was found only in higher-income countries. In terms of the disaster experiences of nearby countries, the adaptation effect was found only for natural disasters, and the marginal impact was relatively higher for higher-income countries.

Keywords: Natural disaster; Technological disaster; Adaptation; Learning; Disaster experience; Economic development (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O1 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:87:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-017-2825-3

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DOI: 10.1007/s11069-017-2825-3

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