A globally deployable strategy for co-development of adaptation preferences to sea-level rise: the public participation case of Santos, Brazil

Jose A. Marengo (), Luci H. Nunes, Celia R. G. Souza, Joseph Harari, Frank Muller-Karger, Roberto Greco, Eduardo K. Hosokawa, Ernesto K. Tabuchi, Samuel B. Merrill, Catherine J. Reynolds, Mark Pelling, Lincoln M. Alves, Luiz E. Aragão, Sin C. Chou, Fabiano Moreira, Shona Paterson, Jonathan T. Lockman and Alexander G. Gray
Additional contact information
Jose A. Marengo: Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alerta de Desastres Naturais CEMADEN
Luci H. Nunes: Universidade Estadual de Campinas
Celia R. G. Souza: Instituto Geológico
Joseph Harari: Universidade de São Paulo
Frank Muller-Karger: University of South Florida
Roberto Greco: Universidade Estadual de Campinas
Eduardo K. Hosokawa: Prefeitura de Santos
Ernesto K. Tabuchi: Prefeitura de Santos
Samuel B. Merrill: GEI Consultants, Inc.
Catherine J. Reynolds: University of South Florida
Mark Pelling: King’s College London
Lincoln M. Alves: Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais INPE
Luiz E. Aragão: Observação da Terra OBT-Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais INPE
Sin C. Chou: Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais INPE
Fabiano Moreira: Universidade Estadual de Campinas
Shona Paterson: University College Cork
Jonathan T. Lockman: GEI Consultants, Inc.
Alexander G. Gray: GEI Consultants, Inc.

Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, 2017, vol. 88, issue 1, No 3, 39-53

Abstract: Abstract Sea-level rise (SLR) poses a range of threats to natural and built environments in coastal zones around the world. Assessment of the risks due to exposure and sensitivity of coastal communities to coastal flooding is essential for informed decision-making. Strategies for public understanding and awareness of the tangible effects of climate change are fundamental in developing policy options. A multidisciplinary, multinational team of natural and social scientists from the USA, the UK, and Brazil developed the METROPOLE Project to evaluate how local governments may decide between adaptation options associated with SLR projections. METROPOLE developed a participatory approach in which public actors engage fully in defining the research problem and evaluating outcomes. Using a case study of the city of Santos, in Brazil, METROPOLE developed a method for evaluating risks jointly with the community, comparing ‘no-action’ to ‘adaptation’ scenarios. At the core of the analysis are estimates of economic costs of the impact of floods on urban real estate under SLR projections through 2050 and 2100. Results helped identify broad preferences and orientations in adaptation planning, which the community, including the Santos municipal government, co-developed in a joint effort with natural and social scientists.

Keywords: Sea-level rise; Adaptation preferences; Climate change; Participatory approach; Santos; Brazil; METROPOLE Project/Belmont Forum (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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DOI: 10.1007/s11069-017-2855-x

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