Sea ice disaster risk assessment index system based on the life cycle of marine engineering
Xu Ning (),
Liu Xueqin,
Yuan Shuai,
Ma Yuxian,
Shi Wenqi and
Chen Weibin
Additional contact information
Xu Ning: National Marine Environmental Monitoring Center
Liu Xueqin: National Marine Environmental Monitoring Center
Yuan Shuai: National Marine Environmental Monitoring Center
Ma Yuxian: National Marine Environmental Monitoring Center
Shi Wenqi: National Marine Environmental Monitoring Center
Chen Weibin: National Marine Environmental Monitoring Center
Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, 2019, vol. 95, issue 3, No 2, 445-462
Abstract:
Abstract Based on the classification results of marine structure accidents induced by sea ice, the risk assessment index system of sea ice disasters was established. The possibility coefficient of risks was proposed based on risk factors of sea ice disasters, including sea ice conditions, ice risk status, ice resistance in the design phase, the current defense ability in the operation phase, and management behaviors in the freezing period. The severity index should be determined according to the affected scope, the distribution of affected personnel, and the monitoring ability in emergency. According to the case study and expert evaluation method, the scores and levels of sea ice disaster risk assessment indices were determined. Finally, the sea ice disaster risks of two offshore oil platforms and a coastal nuclear power plant were assessed.
Keywords: Marine engineering; Sea ice disaster; Risk assessment index system; Nuclear power station; Oil platform (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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DOI: 10.1007/s11069-018-3463-0
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