Can Mapping Algorithms Based on Raw Scores Overestimate QALYs Gained by Treatment? A Comparison of Mappings Between the Roland–Morris Disability Questionnaire and the EQ-5D-3L Based on Raw and Differenced Score Data
Jason Madan (),
Kamran A. Khan,
Stavros Petrou and
Sarah E. Lamb
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Jason Madan: Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick
Kamran A. Khan: Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick
Stavros Petrou: Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick
Sarah E. Lamb: University of Oxford
PharmacoEconomics, 2017, vol. 35, issue 5, No 5, 549-559
Abstract:
Abstract Introduction Mapping algorithms are increasingly being used to predict health-utility values based on responses or scores from non-preference-based measures, thereby informing economic evaluations. Objectives We explored whether predictions in the EuroQol 5-dimension 3-level instrument (EQ-5D-3L) health-utility gains from mapping algorithms might differ if estimated using differenced versus raw scores, using the Roland–Morris Disability Questionnaire (RMQ), a widely used health status measure for low back pain, as an example. Methods We estimated algorithms mapping within-person changes in RMQ scores to changes in EQ-5D-3L health utilities using data from two clinical trials with repeated observations. We also used logistic regression models to estimate response mapping algorithms from these data to predict within-person changes in responses to each EQ-5D-3L dimension from changes in RMQ scores. Predicted health-utility gains from these mappings were compared with predictions based on raw RMQ data. Results Using differenced scores reduced the predicted health-utility gain from a unit decrease in RMQ score from 0.037 (standard error [SE] 0.001) to 0.020 (SE 0.002). Analysis of response mapping data suggests that the use of differenced data reduces the predicted impact of reducing RMQ scores across EQ-5D-3L dimensions and that patients can experience health-utility gains on the EQ-5D-3L ‘usual activity’ dimension independent from improvements captured by the RMQ. Conclusion Mappings based on raw RMQ data overestimate the EQ-5D-3L health utility gains from interventions that reduce RMQ scores. Where possible, mapping algorithms should reflect within-person changes in health outcome and be estimated from datasets containing repeated observations if they are to be used to estimate incremental health-utility gains.
Date: 2017
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DOI: 10.1007/s40273-016-0483-z
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