Get Over It! A Multilevel Threshold Autoregressive Model for State-Dependent Affect Regulation

Silvia Haan-Rietdijk (), John Gottman, Cindy Bergeman and Ellen Hamaker

Psychometrika, 2016, vol. 81, issue 1, 217-241

Abstract: Intensive longitudinal data provide rich information, which is best captured when specialized models are used in the analysis. One of these models is the multilevel autoregressive model, which psychologists have applied successfully to study affect regulation as well as alcohol use. A limitation of this model is that the autoregressive parameter is treated as a fixed, trait-like property of a person. We argue that the autoregressive parameter may be state-dependent, for example, if the strength of affect regulation depends on the intensity of affect experienced. To allow such intra-individual variation, we propose a multilevel threshold autoregressive model. Using simulations, we show that this model can be used to detect state-dependent regulation with adequate power and Type I error. The potential of the new modeling approach is illustrated with two empirical applications that extend the basic model to address additional substantive research questions. Copyright The Author(s) 2016

Keywords: dynamical modeling; intensive longitudinal data; threshold autoregression; bayesian estimation; affect regulation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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DOI: 10.1007/s11336-014-9417-x

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