A multiplicative process for generating the rank-order distribution of UK election results

Trevor Fenner (), Mark Levene () and George Loizou ()
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Trevor Fenner: Birkbeck, University of London
Mark Levene: Birkbeck, University of London
George Loizou: Birkbeck, University of London

Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, 2018, vol. 52, issue 3, No 7, 1069-1079

Abstract: Abstract Human dynamics and sociophysics suggest statistical models that may explain and provide us with a better understanding of social phenomena. Here we propose a generative multiplicative decrease model that gives rise to a rank-order distribution and allows us to analyse the results of the last three UK parliamentary elections. We provide empirical evidence that the additive Weibull distribution, which can be generated from our model, is a close fit to the electoral data, offering a novel interpretation of the recent election results.

Keywords: Election results; Generative model; Multiplicative process; Rank-order distribution; Additive Weibull distribution (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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DOI: 10.1007/s11135-017-0504-9

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