Analysis of the goal-scoring opportunities conceded in football: a study case in the Spanish La Liga
Rubén D. Aguado-Méndez (),
José Antonio González-Jurado,
Juan Evaristo Callejas-Jerónimo and
Fernando Manuel Otero-Saborido
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Rubén D. Aguado-Méndez: Universidad Pablo de Olavide
José Antonio González-Jurado: Universidad Pablo de Olavide
Juan Evaristo Callejas-Jerónimo: Universidad Pablo de Olavide
Fernando Manuel Otero-Saborido: Universidad Pablo de Olavide
Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, 2021, vol. 55, issue 4, No 15, 1477-1496
Abstract:
Abstract The study’s aim was to analyse the goal-scoring opportunities conceded by a professional football team. Using observational methodology, all the opportunities conceded (N = 243) by Real Betis in the Spanish La Liga 2017/2018 were analysed through a validated instrument which measured contextual, defensive and attacking variables. Descriptive, inferential, correlational and binary logistic regression statistics were used to determine the predictive models. The results show a relation between the goal-scoring opportunities conceded and the provisional match result, as well as all the defensive and attacking variables analysed. There was a significant relation between the own half loss of the ball (66.3%) and the opportunities conceded. After applying the binary logistic regression, there were significant tactical patterns when the own half loss coincided with other variables: loss between 0′ and 15′ (OR = 4.255) and 46′-60′ (OR = 4.227); 0 or 1 opponent’s pass (OR = 2.829); length of attack less than 3′’ (OR = 5.475) and 1 player of the opposing team got into contact with the ball (OR = 7.358). Other factors such as losing the ball through stealing (OR = 3.127) or the provisional result of a draw (OR = 0.4) predict the possibility of conceding a goal-scoring opportunity in the case studied.
Keywords: Team sports; Observational methodology; Match analysis; Tactics; Style of play (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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DOI: 10.1007/s11135-020-01066-7
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