COVID-19: average time from infection to death in Poland, USA, India and Germany

Antoni Wiliński (), Łukasz Kupracz (), Aneta Senejko () and Grzegorz Chrząstek ()
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Antoni Wiliński: WSB University
Łukasz Kupracz: Koszalin University of Technology
Aneta Senejko: WSB University
Grzegorz Chrząstek: WSB University

Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, 2022, vol. 56, issue 6, No 37, 4729-4746

Abstract: Abstract There are many discussions in the media about an interval (delay) from the time of the infections to deaths. Apart from the curiosity of the researchers, defining this time interval may, under certain circumstances, be of great organizational and economic importance. The study considers an attempt to determine this difference through the correlations of shifted time series and a specific bootstrapping that allows finding the distance between local maxima on the series under consideration. We consider data from Poland, the USA, India and Germany. The median of the difference’s distribution is quite consistent for such diverse countries. The main conclusion of our research is that the searched interval has rather a multimodal form than unambiguously determined.

Keywords: Covid-19; Time series; Confirmed infection cases; Correlation; Bootstrapping (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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DOI: 10.1007/s11135-022-01340-w

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