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Undermining conditionality? The effect of Chinese development assistance on compliance with World Bank project agreements

Mitchell Watkins ()
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Mitchell Watkins: SOAS University of London

The Review of International Organizations, 2022, vol. 17, issue 4, No 1, 667-690

Abstract: Abstract Does Chinese development assistance undermine recipient country compliance with DAC aid conditionality? I theorize that Chinese aid provides an outside option that weakens recipient countries’ incentives to comply with conditionality by decreasing their dependence on DAC donors and undermining the ability of DAC donors to credibly commit to the enforcement of aid agreements. I test the theoretical predictions using project-level data on government compliance with World Bank project agreements for a sample of 42 Sub-Saharan African countries from 2000-2014. The empirical analysis finds strong support for the hypothesis that Chinese development assistance decreases the likelihood of recipient country compliance with the conditions specified in World Bank project agreements. The results are robust to alternative measures of Chinese development assistance, potential sources of omitted variable bias, and an instrumental variable estimation strategy.

Keywords: China; Conditionality; Foreign aid; World Bank (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F35 F50 F53 O19 O55 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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DOI: 10.1007/s11558-021-09443-z

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