Self-Organization at the Break in the Trajectory of Socioeconomic Development: Challenges for Russia

V. A. Shuper ()
Additional contact information
V. A. Shuper: Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences

Regional Research of Russia, 2020, vol. 10, issue 3, 344-351

Abstract: Abstract— In the development of the world economy, global integration and disintegration cycles alternate. Growth of the world economy can be considered as a regime with aggravation in analogy with population growth in the theory of S.P. Kapitsa. Accordingly, this growth is subject to internal laws, not external restrictions. Kapitsa formulated this position as the principle of the demographic imperative. A slowdown in both population growth and economic growth in the coming years is inevitable. Both a pessimistic scenario in the spirit of “limits to growth” and a transition from extensive to intensive development in the spirit of the ideas of disgraced Soviet philosopher M.K. Petrov are possible. Today, first, we can observe a rapid intensification in production processes both in industry and agriculture, as well as in the sphere of intangible production. Second, intangible consumption is increasingly replacing material. The third prerequisite for maintaining the progressive development of society in the face of a significant slowdown in GDP growth is a turning point in the trend toward the degradation of educational and intellectual levels.

Keywords: cycles; integration; disintegration; nonlinear dynamics; aggravated regime; intensive development (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://link.springer.com/10.1134/S2079970520030120 Abstract (text/html)
Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:rrorus:v:10:y:2020:i:3:d:10.1134_s2079970520030120

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
https://www.springer ... cience/journal/13393

DOI: 10.1134/S2079970520030120

Access Statistics for this article

Regional Research of Russia is currently edited by Vladimir M. Kotlyakov and Vladimir A. Kolosov

More articles in Regional Research of Russia from Springer
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().