Modeling the behaviour of science and technology: self-propagating growth in the diffusion process

Chan-Yuan Wong () and Kim-Leng Goh
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Chan-Yuan Wong: University of Malaya

Scientometrics, 2010, vol. 84, issue 3, No 8, 669-686

Abstract: Abstract Through theoretical analysis and empirical demonstration, this paper attempts to model the behavior of science and technology by investigating the self-propagating behavior of their diffusion for South Korea, Malaysia and Japan. The dynamics of the self-propagating behavior were examined using the logistic growth function within a dynamic carrying capacity, while allowing for different effectiveness of potential influence of science and technology producers on potential adopters. Evidence suggests that the self-propagating growth function is particularly relevant for countries with advanced science and technology, like Japan. While self-propagating growth was also found for South Korea, the diffusion process remained fairly static for Malaysia.

Keywords: Carrying capacity; Diffusion; Growth function; Science; Technology (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C10 O33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (18)

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DOI: 10.1007/s11192-010-0220-x

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