Quasi-likelihood analysis for Student-Lévy regression

Hiroki Masuda (), Lorenzo Mercuri () and Yuma Uehara ()
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Hiroki Masuda: University of Tokyo
Lorenzo Mercuri: University of Milan
Yuma Uehara: Kansai University

Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, 2024, vol. 27, issue 3, No 7, 794 pages

Abstract: Abstract We consider the quasi-likelihood analysis for a linear regression model driven by a Student-t Lévy process with constant scale and arbitrary degrees of freedom. The model is observed at high frequency over an extending period, under which we can quantify how the sampling frequency affects estimation accuracy. In that setting, joint estimation of trend, scale, and degrees of freedom is a non-trivial problem. The bottleneck is that the Student-t distribution is not closed under convolution, making it difficult to estimate all the parameters fully based on the high-frequency time scale. To efficiently deal with the intricate nature from both theoretical and computational points of view, we propose a two-step quasi-likelihood analysis: first, we make use of the Cauchy quasi-likelihood for estimating the regression-coefficient vector and the scale parameter; then, we construct the sequence of the unit-period cumulative residuals to estimate the remaining degrees of freedom. In particular, using full data in the first step causes a problem stemming from the small-time Cauchy approximation, showing the need for data thinning.

Keywords: Cauchy quasi-likelihood; High-frequency sampling; Likelihood analysis; Student Lévy process (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1007/s11203-024-09317-2

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