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Beurteilung des Kreditausfallrisikos im Firmenkundengeschàft der Banken

Jens Leker and Gerhard Schewe
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Jens Leker: Universitàt Kiel
Gerhard Schewe: Westfàlische WihelmsUniversitàt Münster

Schmalenbach Journal of Business Research, 1998, vol. 50, issue 10, 877-891

Abstract: Summary The purpose of this paper is to compare three different instruments for predicting bankruptcy. In this study we develop a multivariate discrimination model, a logistic regression model, and a neuronal network model based on financial data from 232 various companies. A comparison of the Classification abilities of the three instruments is presented. The results show that all of them have a good misclassification error of less than 25%. The best model is the logistic regression model with an alphaerror of 10,3% and a betaerror of 20,7%.

Date: 1998
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DOI: 10.1007/BF03371538

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