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Conditional simulation in dynamic linear models for spatial and temporal predictions of diffusive phenomena

Tonio Di Battista (), Lara Fontanella () and Luigi Ippoliti ()
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Tonio Di Battista: Universitá degli Studi “G. d’Annunzio”
Lara Fontanella: Universitá degli Studi “G. d’Annunzio”
Luigi Ippoliti: Universitá degli Studi “G. d’Annunzio”

Statistical Methods & Applications, 2004, vol. 12, issue 3, No 7, 375 pages

Abstract: Abstract. A spatial time series framework is used for stochastic modelling of daily average Sulphur Dioxide (SO2) levels in the Milan district. Within a spatio-temporal Kalman filter algorithm, stochastic conditional simulation is performed to obtain spatial and temporal predictions of the observed process. Unlike other recent space-time Kalman filters, the inclusion of a point source trend model also allows the development of a spatio-temporal state-space model that achieves dimension reduction in the analysis of large data set.

Keywords: Conditional simulation; Kalman filter; point source model; space-time modelling (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2004
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DOI: 10.1007/s10260-003-0065-z

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