When did coronavirus arrive in Europe?
Augusto Cerqua () and
Roberta Di Stefano ()
Additional contact information
Roberta Di Stefano: Sapienza University of Rome
Statistical Methods & Applications, 2022, vol. 31, issue 1, No 9, 195 pages
Abstract The first cluster of coronavirus cases in Europe was officially detected on 21st February 2020 in Northern Italy, even if recent evidence showed sporadic first cases in Europe since the end of 2019. In this study, we have tested the presence of coronavirus in Italy and, even more importantly, we have assessed whether the virus had already spread sooner than 21st February. We use a counterfactual approach and certified daily data on the number of deaths (deaths from any cause, not only related to coronavirus) at the municipality level. Our estimates confirm that coronavirus began spreading in Northern Italy in mid-January.
Keywords: Coronavirus; Europe; Counterfactual approach (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10260-021-00568-4 Abstract (text/html)
Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
Working Paper: When did coronavirus arrive in Europe? (2020)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:stmapp:v:31:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1007_s10260-021-00568-4
Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.springer. ... cs/journal/10260/PS2
Access Statistics for this article
Statistical Methods & Applications is currently edited by Tommaso Proietti
More articles in Statistical Methods & Applications from Springer, Società Italiana di Statistica
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().