Economics at your fingertips  

When did coronavirus arrive in Europe?

Augusto Cerqua () and Roberta Di Stefano ()
Additional contact information
Roberta Di Stefano: Sapienza University of Rome

Statistical Methods & Applications, 2022, vol. 31, issue 1, No 9, 195 pages

Abstract: Abstract The first cluster of coronavirus cases in Europe was officially detected on 21st February 2020 in Northern Italy, even if recent evidence showed sporadic first cases in Europe since the end of 2019. In this study, we have tested the presence of coronavirus in Italy and, even more importantly, we have assessed whether the virus had already spread sooner than 21st February. We use a counterfactual approach and certified daily data on the number of deaths (deaths from any cause, not only related to coronavirus) at the municipality level. Our estimates confirm that coronavirus began spreading in Northern Italy in mid-January.

Keywords: Coronavirus; Europe; Counterfactual approach (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1) Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link) Abstract (text/html)
Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

Related works:
Working Paper: When did coronavirus arrive in Europe? (2020) Downloads
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link:

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.springer. ... cs/journal/10260/PS2

DOI: 10.1007/s10260-021-00568-4

Access Statistics for this article

Statistical Methods & Applications is currently edited by Tommaso Proietti

More articles in Statistical Methods & Applications from Springer, Società Italiana di Statistica
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().

Page updated 2022-12-08
Handle: RePEc:spr:stmapp:v:31:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1007_s10260-021-00568-4