EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Prediction Model for Bollywood Movie Success: A Comparative Analysis of Performance of Supervised Machine Learning Algorithms

Hemraj Verma () and Garima Verma ()
Additional contact information
Hemraj Verma: DIT University
Garima Verma: DIT University

The Review of Socionetwork Strategies, 2020, vol. 14, issue 1, 1-17

Abstract: Abstract The main purpose of this paper is to do a comparative analysis of prediction models using various machine learning techniques. The models will be used to predict whether a movie will be a hit or flop before it is actually released. The techniques used for comparisons are decision tree, random forest (RF), support vector machine, logistics regression, adaptive tree boosting, and artificial neural network algorithms. The major predictors used in the models are the ratings of the lead actor, IMDb ranking of a movie, music rank of the movie, and total number of screens planned for the release of a movie. The results of most models indicated a reasonable accuracy, ranging from 80 to 90%. However, models based on two techniques, RF and logistic regression, achieved an accuracy of 92%. From the results, the most important predictors of a movie’s success are music rating, followed by its IMDb rating and total screens used for release.

Keywords: Prediction model; Bollywood movie prediction; Machine learning; Random forest; Logistic regression (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s12626-019-00040-6 Abstract (text/html)
Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:trosos:v:14:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s12626-019-00040-6

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
https://www.springer ... ystems/journal/12626

DOI: 10.1007/s12626-019-00040-6

Access Statistics for this article

The Review of Socionetwork Strategies is currently edited by Katsutoshi Yada, Yasuharu Ukai and Marshall Van Alstyne

More articles in The Review of Socionetwork Strategies from Springer
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().

 
Page updated 2025-03-20
Handle: RePEc:spr:trosos:v:14:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s12626-019-00040-6