A self-tuning ANN model for simulation and forecasting of surface flows
Omid Bozorg-Haddad (),
Mahboubeh Zarezadeh-Mehrizi (),
Mehri Abdi-Dehkordi (),
Hugo A. Loáiciga () and
Miguel A. Mariño ()
Additional contact information
Omid Bozorg-Haddad: University of Tehran
Mahboubeh Zarezadeh-Mehrizi: Tarbiat Modares University
Mehri Abdi-Dehkordi: University of Tehran
Hugo A. Loáiciga: University of California
Miguel A. Mariño: University of California
Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), 2016, vol. 30, issue 9, No 3, 2907-2929
Abstract:
Abstract Artificial neural networks (ANN) are applicable for and forecasting without the need to calculate complex nonlinear functions. This paper evaluates the effectiveness of temperature, evapotranspiration, precipitation and inflow factors, and the lag time of those factors, as variables for simulating and forecasting of runoff. The genetic algorithm (GA) is coupled with ANN to determine the optimal set of variables for streamflow forecasting. The minimization of the total mean square error (MSE) is considered as the objective function of the ANN-GA method in this paper. Our results show the effectiveness of the ANN-GA for simulating and forecasting runoff with consistent accuracy compared with using pure ANN for runoff simulation and forecasting.
Keywords: Artificial neural network; Runoff parameters; Simulation and forecasting; Effective factors; Optimization; Genetic algorithm (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:waterr:v:30:y:2016:i:9:d:10.1007_s11269-016-1301-2
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DOI: 10.1007/s11269-016-1301-2
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