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A Comparative Study of Artificial Intelligence Models and A Statistical Method for Groundwater Level Prediction

Mojtaba Poursaeid (), Amir Houssain Poursaeid and Saeid Shabanlou
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Mojtaba Poursaeid: MPO-Plan and Budget Organization
Amir Houssain Poursaeid: Lorestan University
Saeid Shabanlou: Islamic Azad University, Kermanshah Branch

Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), 2022, vol. 36, issue 5, No 1, 1499-1519

Abstract: Abstract Today, various methods have been developed to extract drinking water resources, which scientists use to simulate the quantitative and qualitative water resources parameters. Due to Iran's geographical and climatic characteristics, this region is located on the drought belt in Asia. In this research, some Artificial Intelligence (AI) and mathematical models have been used for groundwater level prediction. The AI models used for this research are Extreme Learning Machine (ELM), Least Square Support Vector Machine (LSSVM), Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), and Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) model. In this study, simultaneously, these models were used to simulate and estimate groundwater level (GWL). The database used in the simulation is the data related to the Total Dissolved Solids (TDS), Electrical Conductivity (EC), Salinity (S), and Time (t) parameters. The results showed that ELM was more accurate than other methods. In Uncertainty Wilson Score Method (UWSM) analysis, ELM had an Underestimation performance and was determined as the more precise model.

Keywords: Extreme Learning Machine; Least square Support Vector Machine; Multiple Linear Regression; Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System; MLR; LSSVR; ELM; ANFIS; Water Parameters; Quantity Parameters (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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DOI: 10.1007/s11269-022-03070-y

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