Synergistic Effects of Changes in Climate and Vegetation on Basin Runoff

Cheng Zhang, Chuansen Wu, Zedong Peng, Shengyang Kuai and Shanghong Zhang ()
Additional contact information
Cheng Zhang: North China Electric Power University
Chuansen Wu: North China Electric Power University
Zedong Peng: North China Electric Power University
Shengyang Kuai: North China Electric Power University
Shanghong Zhang: North China Electric Power University

Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), 2022, vol. 36, issue 9, No 20, 3265-3281

Abstract: Abstract Climate and vegetation are important components of a changing environment that have synergistic effects on surface runoff. To date, few researchers have included the synergistic effects of changes in climate and vegetation in runoff simulation studies. In this study, a water-heat balance model based on the Budyko hypothesis was established, and an empirical formula for estimating model parameters based on the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index was proposed. This Normalized Difference Vegetation Index-climate relationship model allowed the synergistic effects of changes in climate and vegetation on runoff trends to be analyzed. The model was tested in the Fen River Basin, China. The results showed that the annual runoff would be 15.4%–39.5% (between 2020 and 2100) higher under two climate change scenarios than in the baseline period (2006–2015). Climate-driven change in the vegetation cover accounted for 8.0%–19.6% of the total variation in the runoff. The change in the vegetation cover inhibited the increase in runoff. To improve the accuracy of models and avoid overestimates, synergistic changes in vegetation and climate should be included in model simulations.

Keywords: Budyko hypothesis; Climate change; Vegetation change; Runoff change; Synergistic effect (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Downloads: (external link)
http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11269-022-03199-w Abstract (text/html)
Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:waterr:v:36:y:2022:i:9:d:10.1007_s11269-022-03199-w

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.springer.com/economics/journal/11269

DOI: 10.1007/s11269-022-03199-w

Access Statistics for this article

Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA) is currently edited by G. Tsakiris

More articles in Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA) from Springer, European Water Resources Association (EWRA)
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().