Tariff evasion, the trade gap, and structural trade

Zuzanna Studnicka ()
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Zuzanna Studnicka: University College Dublin

Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), 2025, vol. 161, issue 3, No 11, 1215-1254

Abstract: Abstract While it is well-recognized that there are differences in the trade values reported by exporters and importers, a literature has emerged linking this trade gap to tariff evasion. These efforts, however, lack a structural theoretic underpinning and limit their product-level investigations to a small number of countries. My first contribution is to provide a structural model of endogenous tariff evasion, one which then highlights the importance of both tariffs and border enforcement. My second contribution is to use a global, product-level dataset from 2002 to 2019, the analysis of which is consistent with my model’s predictions.

Keywords: Tariff evasion; Structural gravity; Trade gap; Border controls (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F13 F14 H26 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1007/s10290-025-00583-7

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