Bevölkerungsstimmung als Indikator für das Wirtschaftswachstum

Oliver Bruttel

Wirtschaftsdienst, 2013, vol. 93, issue 6, 390-395

Abstract: Established economic forecasts are generally based on complex econometric models which include a wide array of input variables. The Allensbach Institute, one of Germany's leading opinion poll institutes, poses a question at the end of each year asking Germans about their expectations for the coming year. Remarkably, the findings obtained in response to this so-called “New Year’s question” or the forecasts derived from the results bear a strong resemblance to the actual economic trends in Germany — and in part correlate even more closely with the actual economic growth rate than the forecasts published by the German Council of Economic Experts and the Joint Economic Forecasts issued by the leading German economic research institutes. Copyright ZBW and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2013

Keywords: E37; C53 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

Downloads: (external link)
http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s10273-013-1539-8 (text/html)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:wirtsc:v:93:y:2013:i:6:p:390-395

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.springer. ... policy/journal/10273

DOI: 10.1007/s10273-013-1539-8

Access Statistics for this article

Wirtschaftsdienst is currently edited by Christian Breuer

More articles in Wirtschaftsdienst from Springer, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().