Die Effekte der Zuwanderung auf das langfristige Erwerbspersonenpotenzial

Johann Fuchs (), Alexander Kubis and Lutz Schneider

Wirtschaftsdienst, 2015, vol. 95, issue 12, 845-850

Abstract: Demographic change will shrink the German workforce, while at the same time the number of retirees will rise considerably. The authors quantify the reduction of the workforce in Germany until 2050. Moreover, they analyse whether immigration may possibly offset the projected labour supply shrinkage. It is shown that–in the long term–immigration significantly moderates the reduction of workforce potential, but it does not reverse the trend. In the short term, however, immigration will notably increase labour supply in Germany. Only in 2030 will the workforce shrink back to its current level. Copyright ZBW and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2015

Keywords: F22; J11; J61 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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DOI: 10.1007/s10273-015-1912-x

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