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Langfristige fiskalische Erträge künftiger Zuwanderung nach Deutschland

Holger Bonin ()

Wirtschaftsdienst, 2015, vol. 95, issue 4, 262-268

Abstract: The paper employs generational accounting to assess the long-term fiscal impact of future immigration to Germany. Using micro data on age-specific government revenue and expenditure, it demonstrates that the intertemporal government budget, given current fiscal parameters and no migration, is heavily imbalanced due to demographic ageing. Immigration may reduce the burden of the necessary fiscal policy changes on the incumbent population, both via an added revenue effect and an added tax payer effect. However, fiscal relief requires that future migrants are on average at least medium-skilled and hence better qualified than the current population of foreign nationals in Germany. This calls for selective migration policies with a strong labour market focus. Copyright ZBW and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2015

Keywords: E62; E66; F22 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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DOI: 10.1007/s10273-015-1816-9

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