Research on the Impact of New Quality Productivity on Urban Economic Resilience

YongKe Yuan, JingYao Liu, JiaLin Li, XuFeng Zhang, GuangYuan Wang and YuXi Wu

Advances in Management and Applied Economics, 2026, vol. 16, issue 2, 4

Abstract: Abstract With an innovation-led orientation, efficiency and intensification, and high technology intensity, new quality productive forces have become a key driver of urban economic resilience. Drawing on the three-factor theory of productive forces, this paper constructs an evaluation index system for new quality productive forces and, using panel data for 284 prefecture-level Chinese cities from 2012 to 2022, employs a two-way fixed-effects model to empirically examine their impact on urban economic resilience. Results show that new quality productive forces significantly enhances urban economic resilience. The effect is heterogeneous - stronger in cities with weaker science-and-technology foundations, east of the Hu Huanyong Line, and in resource-based cities. Mechanism tests indicate three pathways: digital technological innovation, industrial agglomeration, and optimization of human-capital structure. Policy implications are threefold: (1) consolidate the foundations for NQPF by improving industrial layout and institutions to raise cities’ resistance and recovery capacity; (2) strengthen the human-capital bridge through higher education investment, talent policies, and vocational training; and (3) implement regionally differentiated strategies - the east should prioritize innovation-led upgrading and cluster deepening, while the west should accelerate transformation and close infrastructure gaps - supported by stronger mechanisms for coordinated regional development. JEL classification numbers: R11, R58.

Keywords: New Quality Productive Forces; Economic Resilience; Digital Technology Innovation; Industrial Agglomeration; Human Capital Level. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026
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